Ugh Oh: S&P Downgrades US Credit Rating to AA+, Outlook Negative
More Hyscience Aug 6, 2011, 2:58 am
Definitely bad news; not at all what the WH needed to happen at this time, but surely the administration had to know it was coming: The United States’ long-term sovereign credit rating has been lowered to an unprecedented “AA+” on political risks and rising debt burden and affirmed the “A-1+” short-term rating; Outlook Negative
Zero Hedge has the details: Here’s an extract (hat tip – Andrew Stuttaford):
The downgrade reflects our opinion that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress and the Administration recently agreed to falls short of what, in our view, would be necessary to stabilize the government’s medium-term debt dynamics.
downgrade reflects our view that the effectiveness, stability, and predictability of American policymaking and political institutions have weakened at a time of ongoing fiscal and economic challenges to a degree more than we envisioned when we assigned a negative outlook to the rating on April 18, 2011.
Since then, we have changed our view of the difficulties in bridging the gulf between the political parties over fiscal policy, which makes us pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the Administration to be able to leverage their agreement this week into a broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes the government’s debt dynamics any time soon.
The outlook on the long-term rating is negative. We could lower the long-term rating to ‘AA’ within the next two years if we see that less reduction in spending than agreed to, higher interest rates, or new fiscal pressures during the period result in a higher general government debt trajectory than we currently assume in our base case.Surely much more to come on this. We’ve now entered un
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- Description: Definitely bad news; not at all what the WH needed to happen at this time, but surely the administration had to know it was coming: The United States’ long-term sovereign credit rating has been lowered to an unprecedented